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May 9, 2008

  Happy Mother's day, Hillary - Friday, May 09, 2008 @ 3:24:29 PM  

She didn't want to "stay home and bake cookies," but Chelsea still loves her.

Posted By: Robert Stacy McCain

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  Gravel Gives It His Best Shot - Friday, May 09, 2008 @ 3:19:27 PM  

Wow.

Posted By: Philip Klein

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  Big Government Builds Democrats - Friday, May 09, 2008 @ 3:18:25 PM  

Tim Carney's latest Examiner column exposes the folly of big government conservatism: No matter which party does the spending, the Democrats benefit in the end. But creating Democrats seems to be the Republicans' favorite pastime these days.

Posted By: James Antle

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  A Vito-Proof Majority - Friday, May 09, 2008 @ 3:11:56 PM  

James Poulos smacks down Puritan-watcher Martha Nussbaum. Sure, people can do good things publicly while committing all kinds of vices privately. And given that we are all imperfect, we shouldn't make it our personal crusade to rail against others' imperfections. But would our public life really be impoverished by the loss of the Eliot Spitzers, the Marc Danns, and the Vito Fossellas? I was at an event recently where someone was bemoaning attacks against the moral character of various politicians. Well, what do you expect when so many of them are such public, unabashed scumbags?

Posted By: James Antle

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  Clinging To Clinton - Friday, May 09, 2008 @ 2:55:30 PM  

She only trails the Obama by two points nationally in the Gallup daily tracking poll. More evidence that Obama still hasn't benefited from the bandwagon effect.

Posted By: Philip Klein

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  Re: Why can't Hillary quit? - Friday, May 09, 2008 @ 2:09:34 PM  

Good questions from James Antle:

But why are so many conservatives interested in keeping Hillary in the race? . . . Are they just warming up for the general election where they'll be rallying the troops behind the somewhat less liberal candidate?

Who knows? I certainly don't consider it my job to "rally the troops" for the GOP. A job usually involves pay, and I get annoyed at soi-dissant conservatives who behave as if they were on the RNC payroll. Former vice-presidential chiefs of staff may benefit professionally from the willy-nilly conflation of "conservative" and "Republican," but so far no one in the Republican Party has offered me a dime, so I remain a loose cannon.

Not that this involves any lofty principle on my part. A thoroughgoing capitalist -- as I once boasted, I write for money -- I'm perfectly willing to sell out and shut up. It's just that I haven't yet been able to make such a nuisance of myself as to merit any lucrative offers. A failure of marketing, perhaps.



Posted By: Robert Stacy McCain

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  Video: Hillary fights on - Friday, May 09, 2008 @ 1:40:17 PM  

She bitterly clings to her "Say Anything" campaign:

Also, here's a video clip of Hillary in Shepherdstown, W Va.

:



Posted By: Robert Stacy McCain

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  Where's The Obama Bandwagon? - Friday, May 09, 2008 @ 12:54:38 PM  

While Barack Obama is all but assured the Democratic nomination at this point, he's still widely expected to get trounced in West Virginia. The state is too small to change the race, but what is worth noting is the lack of a bandwagon effect for Obama in these primaries. Typically, when a candidate is seen as the likely nominee, undecided voters hop onboard to rally around him. But we haven't seen much of that with Obama. By mid-February, we pretty much knew he was going to be the nominee and yet he lost Ohio, Texas, Pennsylvania, and Indiana since then, and will likely get blown out in West Virginia. It may just be a function of Clinton's strength in a number of key states, but perhaps this is an indication that the resistence to Obama among working class voters is deeper. Obviously, we won't know the answer to this until the general election.



Posted By: Philip Klein

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  The Burden in Burma - Friday, May 09, 2008 @ 12:44:29 PM  

Some might remember my mission trip (scroll a bit for blog posts) about one year ago to Southeast Asia, which Wlady kindly amplified at the time. My friend who led the trip, Tim, focuses on new church plants in third-world countries, mostly Communist, that are generally closed to Christianity. Our trip last year took us to Vietnam, Laos and Cambodia.

Tim also has a church planter he works with in Myanmar (Burma), and this morning he received two reports from his contact there.

Message 1, apparently to his email list, from some days ago obviously:

On Friday, 2th of May 2008, Yangon area was struck down by cyclone. It blew so great it destroyed so much of the building, especially zincs. Many good and big trees were all fallen down because of the storm. It was terrible because it was the first time in our life and history that we saw the storm striking us so great. It destroyed so much for of the trees and those power holders. Many have lost their life. According to the news, there have been more than 300 (three hundred who lost their life) but according to the witness there have been no less than 500 (five hundred people who lost their life). Personally, I believe there must have been no less than ten thousands who lost their life. Many were sunk into the deep of the sea and they are not yet found. For those of you who have seen the power grids in Myanmar, you can just imagine how it must have been.

As for my family, we are OK and doing good. But our toilet was completely destroyed and our dorm of (a Christian training facility) was full of flood without any good place for cooking. Things are so much expensive and insufficient. For example, one bag of rice was 25$ last month and now it is 50$ and in some place it is about near 100$ for one bag. Normally, my family eats this one bag for a week but since last month we have been having guest and because of the circumstance, they cannot get out of our house either. At this present time, we eat almost two bags in a week.

We have the privilege to show our love and give the best of our hospitality but there is also a case to worry. We've been thinking how will we survive next month if things are still expensive. And there are thousands who are in the same situation like us. There are thousands who are starving. We do need your prayer.

Message 2, a more personal note this morning:

Dear Tim,
 
I am emailing you from my house. I was so fortunate that I am able to get my access to internet. Its only my phone line that is good in my area.
 
Yes, today there were no less than ten thousands corpses that were found on the sea side as the sea dried. There are still many who are not yet found by people. Yes, it is now estimated that there have been no less than 30000 thirty thousands and still there are many who are not yet found. We just pray that the Lord moves the heart of the authority in such a way that they would feel compassionate about their own people and that they would allow other relief organization to help the people.
 
We looking forward to our new beginning and we pray that it will happen soon. Thank you once again for your concern and prayer. Your prayer, word of encouragement meant a lot to us and to the country.
 
Everyday is full of work. Cleaning our houses and helping others as well. It is a great time to best show our love for the people, more importantly to reflect His love for the people.

My experience last year told me that Americans are not universally hated in this part of the world, despite what you may hear. I and my friends experienced nothing but love and welcome everywhere we went, and Tim, who has been doing this for years, has always had the same reception.

As Tim told some of us who asked what they can do, his answer was that it is one of those rare instances when all you can do is pray to the Almighty. I hope you will.


Posted By: Paul Chesser

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  The Audacity of Webb - Friday, May 09, 2008 @ 12:03:17 PM  

I agree with this author that an Obama-Webb ticket would make a great deal of sense: Jim Webb has a military background, possesses strong foreign-policy and national-security credentials without having supported the war, and could potentially help Obama with white working-class voters and ex-Republicans. Webb is also a bit of a loose cannon. A more cautious candidate would probably prefer Ed Rendell or Ted Strickland, Clinton-endorsing Democratic governors of states Obama desperately needs to carry. But a cautious politician wouldn't have run for president three years out of the Illinois state legislature.



Posted By: James Antle

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  Alan Keyes Is Still Running, Cont'd - Friday, May 09, 2008 @ 11:48:28 AM  

This week Keyes apparently picked up two delegates in North Carolina and started a new third party.  People keep encouraging him.

Posted By: James Antle

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  The Most Embarassing Moment In Modern Journalism - Friday, May 09, 2008 @ 11:28:41 AM  

Obama wears blue jeans, and embeded reporters giggle like schoolchildren watching a sex ed video.


Posted By: Philip Klein

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  Re: Why Can't Clinton Quit? - Friday, May 09, 2008 @ 11:28:30 AM  

Stacy, I agree with Rush that the media's interest in the good of the Democratic Party is revealing. But why are so many conservatives interested in keeping Hillary in the race? Not all of them seem to be motivated by an Operation Chaos-style desire to sow Democratic disarray, though no doubt may of them are. Are they just warming up for the general election where they'll be rallying the troops behind the somewhat less liberal candidate?

Posted By: James Antle

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May 8, 2008  

  Why can't Clinton quit? - Thursday, May 08, 2008 @ 12:20:29 AM  

The political press corps is now clamoring loudly for Hillary Clinton to quit the race, as witness Wednesday's question from a network reporter at her press conference in Shepherdstown, W.Va. :

"But what do you say to those Democrats who fear that you're putting the Democratic Party's chances at risk by...continuing to stay in?"
Media concern for Democrats' fears drew fire from the Commander-in-Chief of "Operation Chaos" :

"All of these media types are demanding that Hillary drop out of the race now . . . and the Drive-Bys are saying, 'Get out of the race to save the party.' Now, what's the party got to do with the media? I ask rhetorically, of course," [Rush] Limbaugh told his listeners after watching TV coverage of the Shepherdstown press conference.

Pundits pronounced Hillary's doom yesterday -- "The Democratic primary is over," John B. Judis of the New Republic stated flatly -- yet she keeps campaigning. She's scheduled for an event this morning in Charleston, W.Va., then off to Oregon for more events before flying to Kentucky for a Friday night event in Louisville.

Why is it so hard for her to call it quits? No Clinton has lost an election since 1980, when Bill got beat in his first bid for re-election as governor of Arkansas. Unless Hillary can come up with a miracle, she'll be blamed for having broken the Democratic duo's 28-year-year undefeated streak.

Can a miracle happen? John Tabin's done the math, and figures it's still too early for Hillary to stop thinkin' about tomorrow.



Posted By: Robert Stacy McCain

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May 7, 2008  

  Life Is Complicated - Wednesday, May 07, 2008 @ 7:37:43 PM  

I'm not really sure which I find more strange. A pro-life, antiwar Obama supporter trying to pretend his support for Obama has more to do with abortion than the war. Or a pro-choice, pro-war former Giuliani supporter chastising him for caring more about the war than abortion.

Posted By: James Antle

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  Alan Keyes Is Still Running - Wednesday, May 07, 2008 @ 7:05:59 PM  

The Constitution Party may not want Alan Keyes but some people do. Keyes scored his best Republican primary performance of the campaign last night, winning 3 percent of the vote in North Carolina (although he still trailed John McCain, Mike Huckabee, Ron Paul, and "no preference"). Keyes continues to run as an independent. And the state party chairman of the American Independent Party, Keyes's largest bloc of support at the CP national convention, told Ballot Access News that he would still like to nominate Keyes for president. This would pose an interesting dilemma for the Constitution Party: Theoretically, the AIP has agreed to abide by the will of the national party's convention. But if it doesn't do so and instead gives its California ballot line to Keyes, then what? If you disaffiliate the AIP, the Constitution Party loses its claim to be America's third largest political party.



Posted By: James Antle

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  Re: It Ain't Over - Wednesday, May 07, 2008 @ 3:36:21 PM  

"If I Were a Superdelegate" sounds like a great reality-show concept, doesn't it, Tabin?

Heck, if I were an uncommitted superdelegate at this point, I wouldn't commit to either candidate in exchange for anything less than a promised appointment as Ambassador to the Court of St. James's

The true believers among superdelegates committed long ago; now it's a patronage auction for the crafty wheeler-dealers.



Posted By: Robert Stacy McCain

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  It Ain't Over - Wednesday, May 07, 2008 @ 3:13:09 PM  

Drudge:
CONGRESSIONAL SOURCE: Hillary having trouble finding superdelegates who will meet with her... 'No one wants to see her today'... Developing...
I'm sure some people will read this as a sign that superdelegates are about to declare for Obama en masse. Don't count on it. If I were a superdelegate -- i.e. a politician or party hack -- I wouldn't want to talk to Hillary on a day like this, when the wind is blowing against her. But I wouldn't be rushing out a press release embracing Obama, either. I'd wait for the last month of the race -- and the March 31 DNC Rules & Bylaws Committee meeting, where they'll discuss the status of Florida and Michigan. Why jump the gun and risk the wrath of the Clintons? Even if Hillary isn't the nominee, she can still use her position as a Senator to make life tough for at least some of the superdelegates in the future, so it's probably best not to cross her.

Posted By: John Tabin

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  New state, same story - Wednesday, May 07, 2008 @ 2:45:23 PM  

SHEPHERDSTOWN, W.Va. -- West Virginia is "a new day, a new state, a new election," Hillary Clinton told her audience here in front of Shepherd University's McMurran Hall. For the political press, however, the story remained the same: How long can she go on?

"I'm staying in this race until there's a nominee," she said in response to a question at a press conference after her "Solutions for America" rally here, vowing to "work as hard as I can to become that nominee."

During her speech, Clinton's voice sounded tired as she repeated the promises of what Philip Klein has dubbed her "Say Anything" campaign. At one point, she seemed to slip from her accustomed stance of certainty, telling the crowd what would happen "if I become president" instead of her habitual "when I become president."

While she campaigned in West Virginia's Eastern Panhandle-- and patiently endured a barrage of "when-will-it-end" questions from reporters -- the word from Barack Obama's headquarters was that the front-runner would begin focusing on the general election. Obama himself was reported to be resting in Chicago.



Posted By: Robert Stacy McCain

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  Re: The Oxymoronic Democratic Gentleman - Wednesday, May 07, 2008 @ 1:35:26 PM  

Wlady, maybe he thought he was still being a gentleman. When a ship is sinking, don't you evacuate women and children first?

Posted By: James Antle

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  The Oxymoronic Democrat Gentleman - Wednesday, May 07, 2008 @ 1:14:08 PM  

In calling for Hillary Clinton to withdraw from the presidential race, George McGovern, alas, is just remaining true to his cut-and-run self. Only last October our Phil Klein caught up with him at an Iowa rally at which McGovern, in introducing Hillary to the 2,000 strong crowd, explained why he was being true to her:

"I hope to live long enough to see a black president in the White House," McGovern said. "But we have an old rule and courtesy in the United States: 'ladies first.'"

First abandoned, it sounds more like.

Posted By: Wlady

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  In Defense of Bill Tucker - Wednesday, May 07, 2008 @ 12:31:38 PM  

The caboose in today's Reader Mail is pretty funny with a young liberal inviting Bill Tucker to spend some time in rural Pennsylvania with him--cue AmSpec slumber party-esque chit chat as to whether such a trip would constitute a date--where he will presumably continue to take our esteemed colleague to task for a recent column "What Conservatives Want." His letter reads, in part: Liberalism makes sense to me. I like the idea of making sure that my neighbor is taken care of. And I like the idea of my neighbor taking care of me.

Okay, so then...take care of your neighbor. Do you really need the government or Bill Tucker to validate that dream before you make it a reality? Is Barack Obama's ascension the starting gun to allow young liberals to stop lecturing and start actually--gasp!--living up to their professed ideals? Then again, I suppose leading by example is a quaint notion in a nation that has spent the last 100 years convincing itself it is more noble to compel with state power than force of argument. (No, Young Liberal, I obviously do not believe Republicans are guiltless on this point.) Charity is the business of the government and not the individual, etc., etc. It's sad to see people so convinced of their own personal impotence making declarations of faux strength like:
You guys blew it. It's our turn now. Turn to do what? Let someone else do it for you, yet again?

Alas, we're asked to believe people who by their own admission cannot hope without a certain politician they've never met winning the presidency are the ones who will empower us. Nonesense. Having come up in the kind of towns and trailer parks Russell Banks has made a career of detailing and, thus, knowing the kind of people this kid claims to have come to know between episodes of The Daily Show, I can't help but suggest he give himself another in-depth tour of his town before he brings Bill Tucker down there. I think he'll find his neighbors don't feel nearly as bad for themselves as he feels for them.


Posted By: Shawn Macomber

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  Re: House Republicans Ready for Disaster - Wednesday, May 07, 2008 @ 12:20:22 PM  

Apropos of this emergency fourth-rate version of the Contract with America -- a Contract with Congress? ugh -- Daniel Larison and I join in solidarity with the general irritation expressed by Jim, Paul, and others over Newt's never-fulfilled promise.

Posted By: James G. Poulos

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  High Noon the Day After - Wednesday, May 07, 2008 @ 11:47:59 AM  

SHEPHERDSTOWN, WV -- Hillary and Chelsea Clinton will speak here at noon and a crowd of hundreds is gathered in front of McMurran Hall at Shepherd University. The event originally scheduled with just Chelsea was updated only this morning to include the former first lady, who canceled her appearances on this morning's news shows following her disappointing results in yesterday's Indiana and North Carolina primaries. In addition to hundreds of Hillary supporters, the crowd here includes two dozen or so Barack Obama supporters waving their own candidate's signs. Also spotted in the crowd were at least two Ron Paul supporters.

Posted By: Robert Stacy McCain

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  Hillary Prepared To Kick In More Family Cash - Wednesday, May 07, 2008 @ 10:59:48 AM  

Just about to hit the road from Raleigh, but wanted to post some quick notes from this morning's Clinton Campaign conference call.

The most important takeaway item was communication director Howard Wolfson disclosing that Hillary Clinton has now contributed a total of nearly $11.5 million of her and Bill's joint money, and that she "is willing to do so going forward" to "remain competitive" with Obama on the spending front. Could Clinton morph into a largely self-funding candidate? And will the media bring up the fact that Bill has earned a lot of his money from overseas speaking engagements, including China, a nation that Hillary has vowed to "get tough on"?

Among the other items that came up:

--Strategist Geoff Garin described Clinton's win in Indiana a "come from behind victory" and "significant accomplishment" in a state that Obama had called a "tiebreaker." Garin said they made progress in North Carolina. In Virginia, Obama won the white vote, he noted, but Clinton won whites by 24 points in North Carolina. He acknowledged that she didn't do as well among blacks.

--Wolfson said that going forward, their strategy will be to do well in the remaining primaries, especially West Virginia, a swing state; seat Florida and Michigan; make the case that she is the stronger candidate against McCain, and does better among working class voters, in the "key swing votes" that any Democrat needs to win.

-- Deputy communications director Phil Singer noted that if FL and MI  counted, Clinton would gain a net of 58 delegates. (Based on RCP estimates, that would still give Obama a lead of nearly 100 overall delegates).

--Wolfson said emphatically that there have been "no discussions" about not going forward.


Posted By: Philip Klein

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  Re: House Republicans Ready for Disaster - Wednesday, May 07, 2008 @ 10:55:09 AM  

Paul, I agree. I don't see much in Newt's grab bag of pandering proposals that will help much. But I think Tom Cole's concerns are more significant. Even if you don't think the special election losses mean much -- and I do think that even they demonstrate superior Democratic candidate recruitment, if not a need to play defense in formerly safe districts -- congressional Republicans are not well positioned going into the fall.

UPDATE: This kind of nonsense doesn't help.



Posted By: James Antle

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  The Word For Hillary - Wednesday, May 07, 2008 @ 10:42:31 AM  

There is a word for Hillary Clinton: "Loser."

Five weeks ago, with her significantly trailing Obama in pledged elected delegates and votes cast (not counting the nonsense "cheat" votes in Florida and Michigan), and winning by a lesser margin among pledged superdelegates, the expectations were for her to:
A) Win Pennsylvania by more than 15 points
B) Run about even in Indiana
C) Lose North Carolina by about 15-18 points
D) Maintain her lead among superdelegates
E) Significantly eat into Obama's votes-cast lead

Instead, despite EVERYTHING going her way before the Pennsylvania primary -- the "bitter" remark, more REzco stuff, the beginnings of the Ayers stuff -- she won that state by LESS than double digits (I think the final margin was 9.6 percent).
Then, despite everything ELSE going her way -- the truly terrible Rev. Wright explosion and more attention to Ayers -- she still barely squeaked by in Indiana, and lost North Carolina by a huge margin, almost as large as originally projected.

Overall, in the three states combined, she significantly LOST ground among pledged superdelegates, picked up NO ground among pledged elected delegates, picked up only 3,000 votes total among votes cast overall (after well over 4 million more votes were cast), and fell BELOW the day-of-primary expectations in all three states. (I.e., in all three states, the expectations had shifted by election day, so that she was STILL expected to win Pennsylvania by double digits, was expected to win Indiana by mid-to-HIGH single digits, and hold Obama to mid-to-high single digits in North Carolina.)

In other words, the best she could do despite everything going her way was to lose ground overall, by breaking even in total votes and elected delegates and losing among superdelegates and losing in the updated expectations game. Meanwhile, the exit polls consistently show that about half of voters in DEMOCRATIC primaries do not think she is honest. That is devastating. And it a stigma that will not leave her, because it is an accurate stigma.

The truth is, the lady is not a popular candidate. Even with a large number of white workers voting AGAINST Obama as much as for her, she still can't make up any ground. She has had every advantage during this whole primary season, but the only way she can win now is by changing the rules. (Yes, that IS still a possibility; see the excellent analysis by Mark Impomeni.) All of which makes her a loser, through and through. And it also makes her decidedly NOT a good choice for Obama for Veep, because Obama would be foolish to saddle himself with a running mate of whose basic integrity half of his OWN party seriously doubts.


Posted By: Quin Hillyer

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  Re: House Republicans, Ready for Disaster - Wednesday, May 07, 2008 @ 9:39:02 AM  

Jim, I'm going to seize the opportunity of your post, and the Politico article you link, to critique Newt's plea to Republicans that Human Events posted, which the Politico piece draws from heavily.

Newt's assessment of the malaise plaguing the GOP is indisputable, although I don't think it's news to anybody, and I do think the two House races featured extremely weak candidates. Clearly improved recruitment is needed, but I don't see anyone getting excited over his prescribed remedies. For example, his solutions to the energy problems are, much like the Clinton/McCain proposals to temporarily repeal the gas tax, are cosmetic and accomplish little. More boldly conservatives ought to be bashing biofuels and pursuing repeals of ethanol subsidies. But Newt has bought into the global warming alarmism and so his responses on the enviro/energy issues aren't likely to be strong.

And is anyone going to get their dander up over flaws with the census? A space-based air traffic control system? Union workers' rights to a secret ballot? Some or all of these may be great ideas, but I don't see them as issues in most peoples' top 50, much less the top 10.

Given his reputation, I expected more out of Newt.


Posted By: Paul Chesser

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  House Republicans: Ready for Disaster - Wednesday, May 07, 2008 @ 8:56:43 AM  

Now that it looks like "Operation Chaos" won't be enough to save Hillary, perhaps Republicans should focus on congressional races where the picture is rather dismal.



Posted By: James Antle

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  Cynical? Who are you calling cynical? - Wednesday, May 07, 2008 @ 8:54:58 AM  

Is this just cold-eyed realism for the Maverick?

John McCain, the caped crusader of reform for more than a decade, has taken to bending rules so he can remain competitive: His campaign pledged his eligibility for federal matching funds as collateral for a bank loan, then declined public funding and its spending limits for the primary season.
A cynic's rule of thumb: Whenever a politician says "reform," mentally substitute the word "scam."

Posted By: Robert Stacy McCain

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  'Evangelical' Meaning is Lost - Wednesday, May 07, 2008 @ 8:41:43 AM  

USA Today reports this morning about an effort by Christian scholars and theologians to recover the meaning of the identity of what an "evangelical" is, by issuing a new "manifesto:"

"Evangelical" has been widely used to refer to Christians who have conservative political views, but the Evangelical Theological Society requires members to agree on just two points: inerrancy of Scripture, and belief in God the Father, Son and Holy Spirit as "separate but equal in attributes and glory" and essential for salvation.

The manifesto condemns Christians on the right and left for "using faith" to express political views "without regard to the truth of the Bible," according to a draft obtained last week by the Associated Press. When faith "loses its independence," it says, "Christians become 'useful idiots' " for politicians.

I wrote over a year ago that that term is no longer meaningful, and I doubt this new manifesto will change that. I suggested a new one that would be more difficult for liberals to co-opt.

Posted By: Paul Chesser

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  Losing, but not quitting - Wednesday, May 07, 2008 @ 7:48:37 AM  

Last night's Obama victories -- and, let's face it, keeping the margin to 2% in Indiana was in its own way a victory as big as his North Carolina blowout -- have probably cinched the Democratic nomination, as Philip Klein reported from Raleigh in the wee hours. Michael Crowley of The New Republic and Ben Smith of the Politico both thought Hillary's speech last night showed signals of a weary acceptance of her doom.

Despite Team Clinton's increasingly